In early April, Latvian border guards prevented a shocking 106 attempts of people trying to cross illegally from Belarus. This is a big jump from just five cases in January and 75 in February.
With the weather getting warmer, more migrants are trying to come through at a faster pace.
Origins and aspirations
The people crossing the border mostly come from Asia and Africa. They are from countries like India, Syria, Iran, Iraq, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Congo, Cameroon, and Mali.
They travel to Moscow or Minsk and then, it is believed, they are taken to the border between Latvia and Belarus by smugglers. Many of them want to eventually get to Germany.
Relentless tactics
While an unfinished border fence buys time for guards to react, migrants often resort to breaking it by cutting wires and drilling holes.
Authorities in Latvia believe that Belarusian officials might be involved in damaging the barrier.
In certain cases, pre-arranged drivers have tried to quickly move migrants across the border by car, even though this could result in decade-long prison sentences.
Mounting obstacles
Although the incomplete fence slows down trespassers temporarily, the growing number of incidents shows that the problem is getting worse.
With summer approaching, Latvian border patrols will likely have a harder time stopping people from illegally crossing the border from Belarus.
Dealing with this situation will need countries working together and providing resources.
Ripple effects on travel to Europe
The migrant surge could create delays for travelers once the European Travel Information and Authorization System (ETIAS) launches in 2025.
This pre-screening system aims to enhance Schengen security by vetting arrivals beforehand.
However, if border resources get stretched thin, even visa-free visitors may face longer processing times in Latvia.
Policy shift for EU immigration?
Uncontrolled migration influxes often trigger nations to reevaluate immigration policies.
Besides ETIAS for short-term travel, the EU may consider tightening rules for long-term residency.
Aspiring immigrants like families, investors, or students could face heightened scrutiny if this crisis escalates further.
Looming challenges ahead
As the warm months approach, Latvian border forces brace for an uphill battle in managing the relentless surge from Belarus. Concerted international cooperation may be crucial in resolving this precipitous migration crisis.